Morning Coffee

A forum for current charts, analysis, forecasts, and trades.
g<><
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Morning Coffee

Post by g<>< » Fri Feb 26, 2021 8:56 am

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For your consideration, a study into the potential reversal of the commodities markets and the inception of the long supercycle. The weekly chart of CRSOX shows a CIT in the May 2020 price reversal (green arrow).



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Deep dives into individual contracts, we begin with wheat. Initiates and Masters of technical analysis will see a rounded bottom as price action encounters increasing interest. A run to 8.44 could trigger a temporary sell off, allowing the chart to print a "cup and handle."



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In the same May 2020 CIT timeframe, "seeing unusual accomplishment" manifested as negative futures prices. This brought disbelief as to how that was even possible. Flywheeling out, the energy complex has enjoyed prices float higher as if they were free of gravity.



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The ceremonial recitation that supply and demand are the dark forces that create the market...the global population is 7.9 billion and exponentially increasing. The hunger for meat and the thirst for more. Insatiable beast.



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Farmers' all man attack...the full moon. Spring beans into winter, hiver, invierno, vinter, inverno...Habemus papam?
Last edited by g<>< on Fri Feb 26, 2021 9:50 am, edited 1 time in total.

g<><
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Re: Morning Coffee

Post by g<>< » Fri Feb 26, 2021 9:39 am

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Metals have always been a measure of inflationary pressures and a barometer of the broader commodity and equity markets. Price action looks to be consolidating for an outbreak, or breakout to extend another leg up. Nothing like fear and precious metals. Covid and precious vaccines.



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Coffee futures are forming a ascending triangle with 142 as an immediate ceiling. Looks as if price has "put in the work" and now coiling for a breakout. This seems to be the most compelling contract.



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Zooming out. The weekly price action from 2002 shows four "touches" to the dashed trendline (gold arrows). They are 29 days, 124 days, and 321 trading days apart. Although the intervals are not phi ratios, a quick calculation would suggest that the next interval would be 620 trading days.

Price and time would suggest 6.34 basis the front month on March 24, 2023 if the global economic supercycle comes to fruition. The perfect storm; exchange rates, frost, flooding, COVID-19, drought, economic recovery/demand, poor harvest labor shortage, tree disease (rust), in a increasingly volatile world. Solar sunspot cycles and frost coincide...a discussion for another day.




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A quick primer. 29-124=95 (red) 124-321=197 (red). Subtraction functions are the red arrows. 95-197=102 (maroon). 102 then translates over (blue arrow) as the base synthesis. Addition functions are the green arrows. Next start additions from the base synthesis. 197+102=299 (lime) and 321+299=620 (aqua).

This is merely a demonstration of the application of number sequence extrapolation. There are many other esoteric methods and the most simplest technique is presented for your review. The unique situation on the weekly coffee chart was selected for discussion. Although price often revisits established trendlines it isn't a certainty. It is suggested that further study and tracking of the entire commodity complex be implemented as markers to coffee's traction to the impending supercycle.

julianw
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Re: Morning Coffee

Post by julianw » Sat Feb 27, 2021 2:27 am

Hey gfish good to see your back posting on here, look forward to reading your analysis.
We met at the PUC back in 2013 & had a beer along with clogs and Lars.
Don't know if you ever tried brute force optimising astro parameters, to figure what planets are being influenced.
I wrote a JTTL Jenkins trendline script, that thing works on every instrument, no idea why, price just avoids it
Will dig it out and stick it in the library
Would be nice if we can find out what is going on in our lifetime
Probably the AI overlords will figure it out
I gave up on trying to rationalize why price moves the way it does
Last edited by julianw on Sat Feb 27, 2021 3:23 am, edited 1 time in total.

julianw
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Re: Morning Coffee

Post by julianw » Sat Feb 27, 2021 2:49 am

Something going on here.
1.61803398875 x 1.61803398875 = 2.61803398875

299/102 = 2.931372549
197/102 = 1.931372549

julianw
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Re: Morning Coffee

Post by julianw » Sat Feb 27, 2021 3:01 am

Image
Threw this up on JO Coffee ETF, fib time projection set to 1.93 and 2.93.
Worked well on the first inflection I tried it on.
Nice work gfish :)

g<><
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Re: Morning Coffee

Post by g<>< » Mon Mar 01, 2021 6:43 pm

Yes indeed j.

Just a quick note, JO is an ETN with a maturity date of January 23, 2048. https://www.ipathetn.com/US/16/en/etns ... tId=341632 for more information.

ETN vs ETF. https://www.investopedia.com/financial ... rence.aspx

g

Thoth
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Re: Morning Coffee

Post by Thoth » Fri Mar 19, 2021 12:46 am

Thanks Gfish and Julian!

Very interesting and worth spending some time on:-)

Simon.B
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Re: Morning Coffee

Post by Simon.B » Fri Mar 19, 2021 1:27 am

Hi g,

Good to see you posting. It has been a long time. How is life treating you ?

Best,
Simon

Eagle
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Re: Morning Coffee

Post by Eagle » Sun Apr 11, 2021 7:58 am

Morning g,

It would be great to see an update on your view on Coffee from here on in.

Thanks

Robert

g<><
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Re: Morning Coffee

Post by g<>< » Thu Apr 29, 2021 4:19 am

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The coffee contract has been printing positive net energy from the April 3 CIT for an approximate .26(37500) credit/car to date.




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Increasing our chart data, we notice two price polarity reversals at November 2, (Romeo Box) and April (3)5, (Box Golf). By connecting these points, the fushia trendline (and its' derivatives) becomes the basis for astrologically powerful support and resistance.



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The celestial dance of the planetary orbs. We surmise from Gann and astronumerology, that Heliocentric Jupiter at 315 degrees (Green Arrow) is activated by Earth (Red Bolt) in high trine resonance. The Saturn-Uranus trine at 270 degrees is of particular interest as Uranus is often associated with the coffee tree. Correspondingly we see the April 3 CIT.



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Both Saturn and Jupiter are energized in conjunction. Mars triggers the energy at 90 degrees in square. All this in the backdrop of multiple Earth-Venus-Uranus aspects. For our discussion, the November 1 CIT, (natal) presents as a powerful planetary marker for this current move.


The polarity of coffee seems to be showing traction to the resonance of natural laws.

Coffee.pdf
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Download Gann's 1954 Coffee notations.

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