Natal Forecast Using EMGP

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ForJL
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Re: Natal Forecast Using EMGP

Post by ForJL » Mon Feb 24, 2020 9:27 am

This is a longer term, more comprehensive workup that I am actually still refining. However given today's market conditions I thought it to be relevant. The forecast calls for ongoing pressure though @ mid-May. This works well with my cyclic work which is pointing to that point in time as a minimal projection also.


Best,
Joe
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dirk
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Re: Natal Forecast Using EMGP

Post by dirk » Sun Mar 01, 2020 4:37 pm

Hi Joe your work is always fantastic

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ForJL
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Re: Natal Forecast Using EMGP

Post by ForJL » Wed Mar 11, 2020 1:34 pm

This is an updated phase8 natal that I have tightened up a bit over the past couple of weeks. The NF itself hasn't changed but did add EF expansion targets and did some work on the Flux lines. If you have any questions feel free to ask.



Joe
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ForJL
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Re: Natal Forecast Using EMGP

Post by ForJL » Fri Mar 27, 2020 9:55 am

Haven't done one of these in a while so thought I would post one today. The raw natal is the red line and the others are EF mods. The projections appear optimistic but in this environment who knows. Additionally there has been no energy wave inversions at this point so be aware that one could occur, and can only occur at energy wave completions. Finally this forecast is keying of the harmonic resonance of the '87 crash for those trying to build their own models.
Keep in mind that these type of forecasts can blow up at any time. We can only estimate the length of the energy signature. In this case Sunday morning but no guarantees.

Joe
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ForJL
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Re: Natal Forecast Using EMGP

Post by ForJL » Sun Mar 29, 2020 12:30 am

I'm glad I remembered to put in the caveat about inversions because the forecast inverted shortly after I posted at the end of the energy wave. As I said previously this is the only area where inversions can occur. After the inversion there were modest harmonic adjustments on two of the three remaining energy waves. The final energy wave starts off well enough but falls apart on the strong sell off at the end of the day. To have seen that you would have had to have looked deeper into the fractal (2nd chart) but that's a topic for another day. All in all I was quite pleased with the forecast performance.


Joe
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ForJL
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Re: Natal Forecast Using EMGP

Post by ForJL » Wed Apr 01, 2020 4:18 pm

I'm almost sorry to say but have been attempting to build a forecast model based on the 1918 Spanish Flu pandemic. While I am having trouble looking deeper into the fractal that is really not the point. I was just wondering if anyone was doing any research into this area and if so how? I'll just add that I sincerely hope all are staying safe during this troubling period.

Joe
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ForJL
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Re: Natal Forecast Using EMGP

Post by ForJL » Thu Apr 09, 2020 10:46 am

For the past couple of weeks the NF has definitely been vibrating to the ‘87 crash model and has performed well over that time. However last week I started having problems looking deeper into the fractal which is not unheard of but unusual. That’s when I decided to build the 1918 Spanish Flu model. The oddity there was that it did well looking into the fractal but performed badly when I tried to get the broader picture. So what I did was combine the two. I took elements from both and combined them into one model. It performed “okay” yesterday (second chart) and doing well so far today. That said, it’s continued performance remains to be seen.


Joe
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Ozdragon
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Re: Natal Forecast Using EMGP

Post by Ozdragon » Sun Apr 12, 2020 12:00 pm

Thank-you very ,very much
I too am returning from a hiatus and am getting back to speed.
fantastic stuff. thank-you again.
Cheers
Mark

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ForJL
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Re: Natal Forecast Using EMGP

Post by ForJL » Mon Apr 13, 2020 11:07 am

Hi Mark,

I very much appreciate the comments and glad to see you have come back also. While the last forecast was a dud I have been mostly proud of what I have posted so far. Once you have re-familiarized yourself with everything and are back up to speed it would be great to see some of your work.

All the best,
Joe

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ForJL
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Re: Natal Forecast Using EMGP

Post by ForJL » Tue May 26, 2020 9:52 am

I haven't done one of these in a while so thought I post something today. Here I am using a model that is based on the low of the 20th century which stands in contrast to the ones I had been using which were based on the '87 crash. This one has been in use for about three weeks now and can say that when it is on it is pretty good but the few days where it was off it was bad ... real bad. It's why you must always keep these types of forecasts in perspective.

Joe
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